Being a Patient

Tom Levinson Life with Money

To help relieve chronic hip pain, I had an epidural yesterday.

If you aren’t familiar, an epidural is an injection of medication – often and in my case, a steroid – into the area around your spinal nerves to relieve pain in some part of your body.

I’d had one before – it wasn’t a life highlight. I recalled some pain during the procedure, and a short span of pain relief after. But a second epidural had been recommended by a doctor, and I figured it made sense to try again, as a complement to other physical fitness stuff like daily stretching and pick-up basketball I do regularly.
being a patient
I arrived at the pain clinic, answered some routine questions, and switched into a gown and padded socks. A doctor came in, and I asked for a few ibuprofen, if they had any, since I hadn’t taken any at home. The doctor, young, probably not too far out of med school, told me they don’t hand out medicine. They weren’t a pharmacy. It was funny, sort of – I already felt apologetic for asking a “dumb” question, for not knowing an unwritten, unspoken rule of the clinic.

The doctor walked me into the operating room. Bright white light. A half-dozen people quietly playing their roles. I was shown a bed, told to lie front-down, face in a pillow, mask on. And from there, the two doctors – one a senior physician, the other the trainee – performed the procedure.

My experience was … well, let’s just say, I won’t be signing up for my third epidural anytime soon!

But I’m sharing a bit about the process surrounding the procedure because I noticed some important parallels between being a health care patient and being a financial advising client.

As a patient, and frequently I think as a client too, you are inherently vulnerable. You need help. You’re putting yourself in someone else’s hands. You don’t know what you don’t know, and you might be wary of asking “dumb” questions, or too many questions, or not the right questions. You’re reliant on the practitioner’s skill, their attention to detail, their prudent decision-making. And even with a routine procedure, the outcome is uncertain. In a health care setting, with sick people and doctors and nurses in scrubs and masks all around you, one’s mortality comes to mind. This can all feel scary!

My own sense of vulnerability yesterday was exacerbated by the doctors’ dialogue. They muttered quietly behind me. It was mostly technical. There was very little context-setting.

I was hoping for a roadmap, some ongoing guidance – “in a few seconds you’re gonna feel a pinch, then something on your right side” or “we’re about halfway done” – and bracing myself, a sense of when the pain of the injection might be at its worst.

Instead, I felt isolated in my thoughts and agitation.

Undoubtedly, for many clients in the world of wealth management, I could imagine the process feeling similarly challenging and intimidating. Ours is an industry populated by practitioners who so often use technical jargon where everyday language would suffice. There’s often a huge knowledge imbalance between advisors and clients. Not to mention more structural imbalances of gender, race, class, ethnicity, and language gaps. All of these can feel dis-empowering and nerve-wracking for patients and clients alike, and make someone want to run for the door.

My experience in a hospital gown and face mask and padded socks hit me with a jolt of empathy.

As experienced practitioners in the course of our routine day-to-day, physicians and advisors alike are always at risk of losing this crucial sense of connection with the client (or patient).

It’s our job to always be present with and for our clients, wherever they are in their life’s journey. For some, the language of investments and financial decision-making is like a native tongue. But for others, many others, it can be a sweaty-palms roller coaster ride, where the ride operator is speaking Latin!

At Park Piedmont, we’ll always work hard to stay focused on the human experience of being an investment/financial advisory client – wherever that lands for you, our clients. And if you ever feel like we’re not quite getting it, we welcome your feedback. It will help us, and we hope in the process, help you, as well.

Read “Being a Patient” in the Piedmont Exedra.

Markets Continue Tentative Recovery

Nick Levinson Comments, Life with Money

Stock and bond markets worldwide continued to recover from the declines of 2022.

Bonds (as measured by the Vanguard Total Bond Market index fund) dropped more than 13% for the full year, but rose 3% in the fourth quarter of 2022 and almost 2% in January.
headache
US stocks (as measured by the Vanguard Total US Stock Market index fund) fell more than 19% in 2022, but gained almost 7% in the fourth quarter of 2022 and another 7.1% in January.

International stocks exhibited a similar pattern: Developed country shares (as measured by the Vanguard Developed Country Stock index fund) declined more than 15% last year, but rose almost 9% in the fourth quarter of 2022 and another 17% in January. Emerging markets stocks (as measured by the Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock index fund) declined almost 18% in 2022, but gained almost 8% in the fourth quarter of 2022 and another 8% in January.

The eternal question is whether these gains will hold and possibly even continue. Only time will tell, of course, but we do want to note several ongoing areas of economic uncertainty.

Significant issues remain

The recent stock and bond market gains appear to have resulted largely from reduced inflation around the world. The Consumer Price Index declined from over 9% in mid-2022 to 6% in January, caused at least in part by interest rate increases from the US Federal Reserve. These increases have raised the cost of borrowing for businesses and consumers and slowed the pace of hiring along with real estate prices and other key economic indicators.

“Price increases are beginning to cool notably, and Fed officials have slowed their rate increases as they wait to see how their cumulative changes are affecting the economy after a year of rapid adjustment.” Investors are “now waiting for clarity on how high officials will push borrowing costs, and how long they will leave them elevated, to ensure that inflation comes back fully under control” (The New York Times).

While a strong US jobs report in January reduced some concerns of recession, it also re-ignited fears of ongoing inflation. “Employers hired ravenously in January, adding 517,000 workers. The jobless rate dipped to a level not seen since 1969, and revisions to last year’s data showed that job growth was even stronger in 2021 and 2022 than previously understood.”

Other labor market data further complicated the outlook. “Still, the gradual rebound in the number of people working or looking for work, and the fact that pay gains have been easing as the jobless rate has plummeted, could make some Fed officials question whether they need to slow down the job market as drastically as they had expected. It is possible that a rebounding supply of workers could help fill open positions, allowing the economy to reach a more even keel in which wages gently cool without major job losses.” This would be the proverbial “soft landing” that investors hope for, but more data appears necessary to confirm the trend.

Debt ceiling jitters

Another major cause of the current unsettled environment is the possibility of a default on US debt. This is the “debt ceiling” issue, which stems from the fact that Federal spending authorized by Congress needs to be funded by some borrowing, since tax revenues cover only about 80% of total expenses. The current maximum debt is $31.4 trillion, a limit that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen says was breached in January. She appears to have flexibility to continue payments through spring 2023, but without an agreement to raise the debt ceiling before then, the US might not be able to pay bond holders and Social Security recipients, among others.

Unfortunately, we’ve been here before. “The last close call, in 2011 when … Joe Biden was Vice President, was resolved with only days to spare, spooking stock markets and leading one bond rating agency to downgrade the federal government’s credit” (The Economist). More recently, “when Donald Trump was President, the debt ceiling was increased three times with Republican support, and the national debt rose by $8 trillion over his term ($3.2 trillion of which came before Covid-induced spending began in 2020).” Now, with divided government back in Washington, the two sides appear to have reached an impasse. President Biden argues that the debt ceiling must be raised without conditions to pay for previously-approved spending, while House Republicans are demanding unspecified spending cuts in return for support in lifting the ceiling.

Given this deadlock and the economic chaos default might cause, economists and policy makers have been searching for potential workarounds. The Economist article cited above mentions three possibilities:

“One … suggestion is to mint a $1 trillion … coin and deposit it at the Federal Reserve. The Fed would then credit the Treasury’s account, thereby allowing it to go about its business unconstrained by the debt ceiling” (and, we would note, incurring less interest expense).

“A second suggestion … would be for the Treasury to issue ultra-high-interest bonds. Because only the face value of bonds counts toward the debt limit, the Treasury could, in theory, sell … one-year bonds with an interest rate of 105% for twice their face value (since the prevailing market rate is closer to 5%).” That would allow the Treasury to raise twice as much funding as the addition to the national debt.

The third option involves the Treasury borrowing more “in defiance of the debt ceiling … based on a usually ignored provision of the 14th Amendment that American public debt shall not be questioned.”

All three of these possibilities appear to have significant practical and legal difficulties, however.

Park Piedmont acknowledges that the brinksmanship over the debt ceiling might rise to new levels in 2023. We believe that the promise to honor US obligations to taxpayers and bondholders will be upheld, as it has in the past. And even if there is a default, it would likely be remedied quickly once policy makers see the negative results in the economy and financial system.

So we don’t recommend making any short-term portfolio adjustments for clients with long-term investment horizons. For clients with shorter investment timeframes, the wisdom of potential changes would depend on your current exposure to the various parts of the stock and bond markets. In either case, we encourage you to check in with your PPA advisor if you’d like to discuss the implications for your specific situation.

Introducing Our New Book: Thinking About Investing

Tom Levinson Life with Money

Thinking About Investing by Park Piedmont Advisors

We are excited and gratified to introduce our first book Thinking About Investing: Two Decades of Reflective Commentary on Markets and Money. We would be delighted to send you a copy (or copies), either electronically or in hard copy. Our treat. Just let us know what you prefer.

• • •

When we first started to contemplate this project, back in the fall of 2019, we intended it as a capstone present to celebrate the 80th birthday, in October 2020, of our dad and business partner, Vic Levinson.

In that initial vision for the book, we imagined assembling the many Monthly Comments Vic had written over the prior two decades into something bound and memorable. It would be a surprise. Something to put on a shelf. Maybe a coffee table.

Alas, book projects have a life of their own.

Certainly, there was a logic to compiling this archive and handing it off to Vic, a singular gift at a life milestone.
Thinking About Investing by Park Piedmont Advisors
But the more we dug into this older material, the more we felt that, while written initially for a modest audience of clients, family, and friends, it had a wider resonance. Because at the core of all this writing was a thorny question, one that Vic, a clear-eyed pragmatist, wrestled with for decades: how can people survive – and hopefully thrive – in an uncertain world?

At one level, this sounds like the trailer to a sci-fi movie.

But, at another, it’s the drumbeat of all our lives, and of our work at Park Piedmont.

That to us is the bigger story to share. The world is uncertain. The future, unknowable. Risk abounds. But we can still make intelligent, thoughtful choices – informed by our goals, our priorities, and our values. Not hiding from risk – but not being polyanna-ish about it, either.

• • •

Back in 2020, we envisioned the book as a surprise gift – until we realized, what a waste, Vic is right here, a phone call away, and why not benefit from his guidance on what to cut and what to keep. So Vic jumped in to lend a hand.

The book really was a family affair. We enlisted Jane, our mom, Vic’s wife of 50+ years, boasting a voracious appetite for reading, to review the manuscript. Her layperson’s point of view was crucial. Nick’s wife, Julie, was an early contributor, reviewing the Comments and sorting essay topics by theme. Tom wrestled with structure and storyline. Nick and Nate reviewed and revised. We had terrific ongoing support from our Director of Marketing and Education, Corenna Roozeboom, and eventually, from Corenna’s husband, Schuyler Roozeboom, who designed the cover and pages.

• • •

We were still working on a final draft when Vic died last May 28.

We think of the final product as a fitting tribute, an acknowledgement of all his hard work and open-minded curiosity. And, last but not least, as a token of our gratitude. We hope you enjoy it.

• • •

While we can share copies with you – again, either hard copy or electronic format – Thinking About Investing: Two Decades of Reflective Commentary on Markets and Money is also available for purchase on Amazon. All profits from the sale of the book will be donated toward organizations teaching financial literacy and empowerment in Oakland and Chicago.

What It Means & What It Takes to Become a Certified Financial Planner

Nate Levinson Life with Money

Although Park Piedmont focuses primarily on providing investment advice, our advisors also assist clients with broader financial planning work. Financial planning is the process of evaluating a client’s financial situation and developing a roadmap to help them meet their short- and long-term financial goals.

The CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ designation is one recognition of expertise in financial planning. A number of our Park Piedmont team members hold this certification, and I am currently working toward becoming a CFP professional as well. We thought it might be interesting for you to get a look “under the hood” of the CFP certification process, while I’m going through it.

There are four requirements for attaining a CFP certification, which are known as “the four E’s”: education, exam, experience, and ethics.

The education component involves taking several courses that each cover a specific area of financial planning. The topics covered in the coursework include investing, retirement planning, estate planning, insurance, income taxation, behavioral finance, and more. Depending on the educational program, each course usually takes about two to four months to complete and is followed by a test that must be passed to move on to the next course in the sequence.
Certified Financial Planner
Once the education piece is completed, the candidate begins studying for the official CFP exam, which integrates knowledge from each of the educational courses. The exam consists of 170 questions and is taken in two three-hour segments.

Next, the CFP Board requires that candidates have 6,000 hours, or approximately three years, of experience engaging in some form of financial planning work. This can include one or multiple aspects of putting together a financial plan, from gathering client information to identifying their needs and goals to implementing plan recommendations.

Finally, the ethics requirement involves signing a declaration, attesting that a candidate will adhere to the CFP Board’s Code of Ethics and Standards of Conduct. These documents specify CFP professionals’ duties to their clients, employers, etc. and outline what it means to act ethically in the context of financial planning. A primary emphasis of the Code of Ethics is that CFP professionals have a fiduciary duty to their clients, which involves acting in the client’s best interest, avoiding conflicts of interest, and maintaining client confidentiality. We at Park Piedmont have served our clients in a fiduciary capacity since our founding – so the expectations for CFP professionals are closely aligned with our own. Due to all the requirements and steps in the CFP certification process, it typically takes about three years to become certified, assuming the experience piece is completed concurrently with the education component.

Between the required months of studying, years of practicing and applying knowledge, and stringent ethical standards, the CFP certification process prepares advisors to craft plans that are individually tailored to a client’s needs and goals. Our colleague Sam Ngooi, who spent two years studying for the CFP exam during evenings and on weekends, and received her CFP certification last summer, told me:
Certified Financial Planner
“Having knowledge in each of the CFP subject areas enables me to put together the various puzzle pieces of a person’s financial life and help them develop a plan that is holistic and comprehensive. And because clients entrust us with details about their lives and their money, CFP Board’s stringent ethics and education requirements are also important for building trust and providing clients with peace of mind. Not everyone in the financial service space is required to put a clients’ best interest before their own, and it’s meaningful to be able to say that we do.”

Personally, I decided to begin the CFP certification process because I knew I wanted to pursue a career in the financial services industry, but I felt I lacked much of the knowledge I would need to be successful. I had majored in Economics in college, but the classes I took focused on theoretical principles and models, as opposed to real life applications and personal finance. My classes certainly did not touch on anything related to investing, a topic I was particularly interested in learning about. Straight out of college, I worked at an insurance company for about two years, so that was the only financial planning topic I felt I had a strong grasp of going into the CFP certification coursework.

I started the education component of the CFP certification in January of 2022 and am currently almost done with the final course. I went into the process with the most excitement about the investment and retirement planning courses. I believed that these would not only be the most interesting topics, but also the most practical for my role at PPA, and in many ways that has been true. And although I wasn’t as excited for the courses on estate planning and income taxation, I found those to include some of the most engaging material. For example, during the income tax course, I realized that income tax is at the core of what PPA does, and a person cannot advise on any investment or retirement matters without a deep understanding of how the US income tax system operates. I also found the section on behavioral finance, or the study of investors’ psychological biases, to be particularly fascinating because it presented a more “human” side of financial advising that I had not previously encountered.

Overall, I have found the CFP certification process to be vital in my day-to-day work at Park Piedmont. It has provided me with a range of very specific financial planning knowledge, like how to calculate a client’s required savings rate to meet a specific goal and the tax implications of selling various investments, as well as more general financial topics, like the tools of monetary and fiscal policy and the factors that impact one’s credit score. I plan to take the exam in July of this year, and I have about one year of experience to go before I can become officially certified.

CFP certification is a significant time commitment and has taken up many of my weeknights and weekends since the start of 2022. But I have learned more in that time than I ever thought I would. Even after I complete the CFP certification process, I plan to continue learning about investing and behavioral finance, along with many of the other topics the CFP certification has covered.

Read “Is Your Financial Advisor a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™” in the Piedmont Exedra.

In Defense of Real Things

Corenna Roozeboom Life with Money

Moving to a new home when we were 38 weeks pregnant wasn’t ideal, I’ll give you that.

But then our moving truck’s engine spontaneously caught on fire and exploded. Nearly everything we owned — packed Tetris-style onto that truck — was gone. We hadn’t planned for that.
real things
It was a full 24 hours before my husband pulled out a chair and asked me to take a seat to deliver the news. The plan had been to move out of our condo and into a new one a few days later, and we were staying with family in the interim.

I remember him starting with something along the lines of, “The important thing is that everyone is safe. We’re safe, our baby is safe …” My heart raced. What happened?!

I let out a loud, maniacal cackle immediately after he told me we were essentially possession-less. What’s that sound? I wondered. Oh! That’s coming from me. The laughter became more unhinged with each passing moment. “You can’t make this stuff up,” I gasped as tears of laughter streamed down my face.

Equally surprised by my reaction as I was, he took a slow exhale, shook his head, and laughed. “No,” he agreed. “You can’t.” I continued to laugh uncontrollably. I couldn’t stop. And then, suddenly my laughter turned into sobs.

• • •

“It’s just stuff,” we kept telling ourselves over and over through our tears that night. “It’s just stuff.”

Over the coming weeks, months, and now almost years, I found myself mourning that stuff. The bench from our front entryway. Our salt and pepper shakers. A framed greeting card. Some place card holders. A large collection of gardening books.

I also found myself feeling guilty for experiencing so much grief over … stuff. To be sure, some things I didn’t miss at all. But it’s remarkable how much I still do.

Take the bench. We bought it at an antique shop on our honeymoon. It had felt like an extravagant purchase, but it also felt like the perfect way to begin making our new home together. So we splurged and never regretted it.

The salt and pepper shakers were a gift from my brother and sister-in-law, who bought them as souvenirs for us in Switzerland. I thought of them every time I used the shakers. The greeting card came from a beloved team of coworkers my last day on the job. The place card holders were left over from our wedding, handmade by my husband and father-in-law. The gardening books represented a nostalgic time in my mid-20s when I was going to save the world, one garden at a time.

Our home was not large — just one bedroom, the reason we were moving in the first place. But despite its size — or rather, maybe because of its size — it was filled with stuff we loved. Anything that made the cut had purpose or meaning or both.

• • •

As a teenager, I was an expert eye-roller, and my parents — bless them — were usually the undeserving recipients. For years I found my dad’s aversion to anything that could be perceived as “fancy” to be particularly exasperating. But as he still maintains today, he doesn’t like anything too “bourgeois.” (Cue the eye roll.)

Yet my dad also deeply appreciates what he calls “Real Things.” A Real Thing has meaning and value outside of itself, for any number of reasons. Maybe it was made by hand, maybe it was a gift; maybe it was longed for, maybe it was a happy surprise; maybe it holds a memory, maybe it serves as a symbol. Undoubtedly it tells a story, and quite likely it connects us to others. A home filled with Real Things is a home filled with love.
in defense of real things
While my dad’s collection of Real Things may look different from mine or yours, I stopped rolling my eyes at those words when I moved out of my parents’ house. When I had a home of my own, I finally understood.

• • •

As we’ve written before, studies show that people are in a better mood when they reflect on experiences they’ve purchased, rather than on stuff. Likewise, gift recipients are more likely to value an experience or activity over material objects.

This is because, as James Hamblin writes in “Buy Experiences, Not Things,” “experiential purchases are … more associated with identity, connection, and social behavior.”

Yet, as described in a recent piece in The New York Times, much of the stuff we surround ourselves with is valued “for its connection to another person, a place, a time in our lives, a meaningful affiliation.”

In other words, Real Things.

In her Atlantic article “For the Love of Stuff,” Julie Beck shares a quote from Dr. Russell Belk: “It seems an inescapable fact of modern life that we learn, define, and remind ourselves of who we are by our possessions.”

And she writes: “The loss of possessions, ones deeply associated with the self, can cause real grief … If your house was burning, and you had no time to save your favorite things, you might feel like you’d lost part of yourself.”

• • •

Wow. That last line certainly hit home.

Mindlessly accumulating stuff for stuff’s sake won’t bring happiness or contentment. And yet, the stuff we surround ourselves with, those things that tell the story of our lives — the people we love, the memories we cling to, the beliefs we hold dear — those are Real Things. And surely there’s value in that.

Read “In Defense of Real Things” in the Piedmont Exedra.

2022 Year-End Market Update

Nick Levinson Comments, Life with Money

Happy new year! While the past year had some good news (see Economist article, “What 2022 Meant for the World”), we hope 2023 brings some relief for the financial markets.

As you probably already know, 2022 ended with stocks and bonds down significantly, despite gains in the fourth quarter.

The US, developed, and developing international stock markets all declined between 15% and 19% for the year, with the US off the most of the three broad stock categories (figures are for Vanguard’s Total US Stock Market index fund, Developed Markets index fund, and Emerging Markets index fund).

The declines were tempered by fourth quarter increases of 7-8% for the US and developing international, while developed international rose a stunning 17% for the quarter. These declines followed three years of strong returns for global stock markets, with the US rising 31% in 2019, 21% in 2020, and 25% in 2021.

2022 year-end market update Bond prices declined even more than stocks relative to their typical performance, with high credit bonds down 13% and high-yield bonds down 9% for the year (figures are for Vanguard’s Total US Bond index fund and High-Yield Corporate Bond fund).

As Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig put it in mid-2022:

“For most of the four decades since 1981, interest rates have been falling and bond prices rising, creating a tailwind of capital gains for fixed-income investors. You not only earned interest on your bonds but pocketed extra profit as they went up in value.

“Over some long periods, such as the 20 years ending in March 2020, bonds earned even higher returns than stocks, without any of their bloodcurdling losses.

“Those glory years are gone …

“According to Edward McQuarrie, an emeritus professor of business at Santa Clara University who studies asset returns over the centuries, … the broad bond market has performed worse so far in 2022 than in any complete year since 1792 except one. That was all the way back in 1842, when a deep depression approached rock-bottom.”

But here too, the declines leveled off in the fourth quarter, when high credit bonds rose almost 2% and high-yield close to 5%. The full-year declines similarly followed strong returns for the bond markets in 2019 and 2020, with US high credit rising 9% and 8%, respectively. (Bond prices declined almost 2% in 2021 as inflation started to rise.)

The stock and bond price declines stem largely from global interest rate increases in 2022, designed to tamp down persistent inflation around the world. The US Federal Reserve raised the short-term rate it controls from 0% at the start of the year to almost 4.5% at the end.

These interest rate increases have started to moderate inflation, which peaked above 9% in June and declined to 7% in December. The inflation reductions, and the Fed’s lower rate increase in December (0.5%) than earlier in the year (four 0.75% rate hikes), appear to have played a significant role in the stock and bond market gains in the fourth quarter, which have continued into the beginning of 2023.

The big questions for the markets going forward are whether inflation will remain high, and if so, how aggressively central banks around the world will continue to raise rates in response.

Large rate increases could lead to global recession and further stock and bond price declines. Smaller increases could produce a “soft landing” that would raise market prices with a minor recession or none at all. Other important factors include a possible resurgence of Covid, ongoing war in Ukraine, international tensions with China, and economic policy gridlock in the US.

Despite the declines and on-going uncertainty, PPA continues to advise sticking with asset allocations appropriate for your specific situation. As Zweig noted about 2022 in a more recent column:

“Risk-return relationships aren’t always normal, though—and that’s exactly the point.

“Stocks normally go up—but not always. Bonds normally are safer—but not always. Nothing in financial markets is constant or permanent.

“We could already be in a radical new era of rising interest rates and raging inflation. The more sensible assumption, though, is that a once-in-a-blue-moon bad year for bonds doesn’t invalidate decades of data showing that, on average, they can effectively diversify the risks of stocks.”

New York Times columnist Jeff Sommer made a similar point in his Dec. 16, 2022, column:

“Because the stock market tends to rise over long periods, and because bonds are now generating reasonable income (as I explained last week), it’s wise to invest for a long-term horizon in low-cost index funds that track the entire stock and bond markets.

“Don’t base your investments on specific predictions of where the stock market is heading over the short term, because nobody knows. Making bets on the basis of these forecasts is gambling, not investing.”

We will continue to monitor economic conditions and consult with you about your specific situation and investment opportunities. As always, please feel free to check in with your PPA advisor with questions and comments.

Read “2022 Year-End Market Update” in the Piedmont Exedra.

6 Intentions for Life & Money in the New Year

Sam Ngooi Life with Money

Greetings and Happy New Year!

Some 4,000 years ago, the Babylonians rang in the new year by making promises to pay debts and return borrowed farm equipment. Since then, people across the globe have rung in the new year with vows to make improvements in their lives. Like magic, the stroke of midnight sends folks scurrying toward the shiny, hopeful promise of a fresh start, leaving the tattered old year behind. As they say: new year, new me. Right?

Probably not. Eighty percent of people who make new year resolutions will abandon them by mid-February.
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Not to be all doom and gloom in our first newsletter of the year, but it’s hard to deny we’re overdue for a fresh approach to new year goal-setting. For starters, let’s nix the idea that a trip around the sun calls for a complete identity reinvention.

Instead of resolutions, I’m trying something new this year by choosing some guiding principles, or intentions. Intentions feel kinder, less black-and-white, and more easily woven into the fabric of daily life.

Maybe you skipped the resolutions this year or haven’t gotten around to making any yet. Maybe you’ve already broken a few. Everyone’s situation is unique, but hopefully these six intentions offer a nugget of inspiration as we settle into the new year. And, since this is Life with Money, there are suggestions for practicing each intention in one’s financial life.

1. Reflect

As one roller-coaster year loops into another, slowing down can prove challenging. This year, I’m catching my breath by carving out time to reflect, and I invite you to join me. Let’s start by taking a moment to regroup and review: Where have we been?  Where are we going?  What matters the most?  How might we get there?

LWM: For your financial life, this is as good a time as any to reflect on your game plan. Have your goals or timelines changed?  Are there new priorities on the horizon to prepare for?  (A ‘yes’ is a sign you might be due for a check-in with your advisor.)

2. Savor

Daily walks around the neighborhood are a new and beloved pastime in my household. My partner has a keen eye for urban wildlife and unabashed love of snow. Each walk together is a reminder to delight in the everyday and to stop and smell the (actual) roses. These little mindful moments are an opportunity for gratitude and a perspective shift—I’m hoping for many more this year.

LWM: No need for good walking weather here; savoring life with money can be as simple as enjoying and taking stock of the things we already have. Noticing that crunchy apple or flipping through that family vacation album helps us appreciate the ways we’ve spent our money and helps us be more thoughtful about future spending.

3. Invest

This year, PPA team members are investing their time in various pursuits. Leslie keeps a daily calendar reminder to walk outside and tend to her plants, while Nate sets aside time each night to study for the CFP® exam. Amanda is carving 15 minutes of “me time” out of each day to read, meditate, etc., while I’m joining a weekly watercolor class at our community art center. By committing to small habits, we’re finding ways to invest in our interests, selves, and wellness. Just like invested dollars, our invested time and effort will compound throughout the year.

readingLWM: There are plenty of ways to practice financial wellness. Perhaps that involves bumping up retirement contributions or paying off lingering debt. Maybe it’s taking time to review your employee benefits or read up on a financial literacy topic that feels intimidating and confusing. Whatever this looks like for you, consider the benefits of compounding, where even small steps yield meaningful dividends over time.

4. Simplify

Life is short and the to-do lists are long! If life’s regular jumble of tasks, calendar events, and important documents wasn’t overwhelming enough, the new year brings a wave of seeming “musts,” insisting that we adopt a new meal plan, exercise regimen, or 21-day system in hopes of any happiness this year. Where to begin? This year, I’m focused on reducing complexity and parting ways with systems that aren’t working (and keeping ones that do).

LWM: First, it helps to tackle tasks a little at a time. Maybe it’s the thing you dread most, or one that motivates you to take on more. Some suggestions from our client service team:

  • Roll over a former retirement plan
  • Update an old address or phone number
  • Send back that form you’ve been meaning to sign
  • If your goal is to save more, why not set up automatic transfers to take this task off your plate and mind?

This can also be an opportunity to review your budget and find areas where spending less might do. Alternatively, consider taking a step towards decluttering your financial life (e.g., signing up for electronic Schwab statements or closing an old account). After all, a year of simplifying can also be about reducing worry and stress, too.

And while we’re finding systems that might work, set up an accountability buddy to check-in when you need the extra nudge. We can help with that.

5. Flow

The world is wild and unpredictable, that much we surely know by now. Fellow worriers know it’s hard not to lose sleep over the unknown. This year, let’s work on controlling what we can  and letting the rest go. In building a stable foundation, we’re better able to embrace change and roll with the punches, knowing we’ve prepared as best we can for the worst. It also helps refocus our attention on the things within our control.

LWM: Take some time to review your plans for the unexpected. Confirm account beneficiaries (and estate planning documents, if applicable) are accurate and up to date. Review insurance coverage to ensure coverage amounts are appropriate, beneficiaries are updated, and payments are current. Do a gut check of your emergency fund amount and savings rate, and how comfortable you’d feel relying on it.

6. Share

When we share our time, resources, and ideas with others, we’re reminded that we have enough of these things to fill our cup and then some. The pervasive feeling of scarcity and “never enough” can seep into one’s spirit, so the opportunity to give to others can shift our thinking into one of abundance. Plus, practicing generosity and thoughtfulness towards others feels good! On a deeper level, sharing can also be about connections and opening up to others. chattingFor some, this might mean catching up with an old friend or setting up a standing Zoom date with a family member. For others, it’s having a conversation about money that requires a little self-reflection and vulnerability. At PPA, sharing is about finding more ways to engage in conversations about money in ways that resonate for us and our clients.

LWM: Consider the ways you’d like to share your time, resources, or wisdom this year. It can be as small as buying coffee for the person behind you in line or preparing a meal for a friend going through a tough time. Maybe you decide to make charitable donations, set up a Donor Advised Fund (DAF), or volunteer your time to a cause that’s meaningful to you. Perhaps you help start an account for a younger family member and spend time imparting the valuable financial lessons and skills you’ve collected over the years. Better yet, what if this year, your family explores charitable giving and volunteering as a group, finding new ways to connect and express values together?

• • •

 

Whether you decide on an intention or a goal, here’s a suggestion: pick one, write it down, remind yourself frequently, and let your year unfold. Remember that progress, not perfection, is the goal.

We can do this. Are you with me?  Wishing a happy new year to everyone.

Read “6 Intentions for Life & Money in the New Year” in the Piedmont Exedra.

It’s Not a Race: Considerations for a New Year

Tom Levinson Life with Money

One recent, unseasonably mild late afternoon, I hopped on my bicycle toward my regular mid-week basketball game. A main nearby boulevard has a bike lane, and heading out, I felt great. A comfortable breeze. A nice, easy pace.

As I pedaled, I could feel, over my left shoulder, an approaching presence. I turned to look, and what I saw was, candidly, pretty humbling. Steadily gaining on me: an older man, mid-60s, wearing a canvas raincoat and matching fedora and riding a simple 3-speed. He had “professor” written all over him. Notwithstanding his academic garb, ho-hum bike, and (ahem) seniority, he was pedaling comfortably and still passing me easily.

My immediate reflex reaction: you can’t lose to Mr. Chips! Go faster, pump your legs harder. And for a moment, I did.
cycling
Until I asked myself, what are you doing? An exceedingly dapper older guy passed you – so what? Just because he’s going faster (while looking better) doesn’t mean my ride needs to become a sprint. So I took a breath, and watched him pedal away.

It is surprisingly easy for our financial lives to follow a similar pattern. You’re on your own trajectory when suddenly, some new thing emerges, or your neighbor brings home a [fill in the blank], and instinctively, you register yourself in a race you never intended to sign up for.

At Park Piedmont, one important role we play as your advisors is to help you discern your goals, your timeline, and your values, then keep you focused on reaching them. Our financial lives are not a competition – not with other people, and not with some other, idealized version of ourselves. We don’t need to race anyone else.

As we say farewell to 2022 and look ahead to the new year, we thank you for the opportunity to work together and look forward to continuing to be your trusted advisors.

While we can’t predict what the new year will bring, we can share one coming attraction. Early in the new year we will be releasing our first Park Piedmont book on investing. We have been working on this project for several years. It has been a real labor of love, and we can’t wait to share it with you.

Wishing you and yours a happy, healthy new year.

Just Give: Resources for Philanthropy & Thoughts on Effective Altruism

Nick Levinson Life with Money

For those of us fortunate enough to have the interest and financial capacity, the end of the year is often the time to make charitable gifts. Many of you contribute to schools you attended and local non-profits, and those gifts are typically much needed and appreciated. In addition to the good these organizations are doing in the world, there is also still a tax benefit available for gifts to non-profits. (Please check with your tax professional to confirm the details of how much of your gifts are deductible.)

We’ve recently come across a number of additional ideas for philanthropic giving that we want to share with you.
donation
A website that I’ve found to provide good information about charities as well as broader topics relating to philanthropy is GivingCompass.org.

Nicholas Kristof, a New York Times columnist and two-time Pulitzer Prize winner, also publishes an annual list of organizations he thinks are making an enormous impact. He profiled several of these organizations in his November 26 piece, “Time for Gifts of Meaning.”

Yet another broad organization/movement that’s been in the news lately is Effective Altruism (see recent stories from The New York Times, “FTX’s Collapse Casts a Pall on a Philanthropy Movement” and “Effective Altruism, on the Defensive,” and The Economist, What Sam Bankman-Fried’s Downfall Means for Effective Altruism”). EA started in 2011, led by an Oxford professor named William MacAskill. It builds on and updates utilitarianism, which you might remember from reading John Stuart Mill and Jeremy Bentham in college philosophy classes. The update comes in the form of new methods of data analysis that attempt to determine which organizations are currently doing the most good for the most people. In addition to MacAskill, another academic associated with EA is Peter Singer, a philosophy professor at Princeton. An interesting podcast called People I (Mostly) Admire, hosted by Steven Levitt, a University of Chicago economics professor and co-host of Freakonomics, recently featured Singer (10/14/22) and MacAskill (8/19/22). They have provocative takes on, among other topics, animal welfare and long-term thinking (MacAskill calls this “long-termism”). Singer is associated with TheLifeYouCanSave.org, and MacAskill with GiveWell.org.

Effective Altruism has been in the news recently in connection with FTX, the cryptocurrency exchange that filed for bankruptcy in November, and its founder and former CEO, Sam Bankman-Fried, who was arrested in early December on charges related to FTX’s collapse. Bankman-Fried was a disciple of MacAskill, and the largest contributor to Effective Altruism causes. These include global economic development, pandemic preparedness, and, more recently, “AI safety,” which involves safeguarding humanity against potential harm from artificial intelligence technology.

Some of the potentially less savory aspects of Effective Altruism came to light in Bankman-Fried’s downfall. One of these is “earn to give,” in which some EA proponents were encouraged to pursue lucrative careers in finance and technology so that they could give away large amounts to EA causes. Many believe Bankman-Fried took this concept to a dangerous, and fraudulent, extreme. MacAskill lamented the impact on EA: “Sam and FTX had a lot of good will – and some of that good will was the result of association with ideas I have spent my career promoting. If that good will laundered fraud, I am ashamed.” Earn to give sounds reasonable to me in theory but presents an enormous opportunity for backsliding and outright fraud in practice, as Bankman-Fried appears to demonstrate. (Remember, though, that he’s only been charged so far, not convicted of anything specific.)
magic door
Some of Effective Altruism’s other ideas strike me as a little far-fetched. Long-termism, in particular, with its claim that we should give as much consideration to people 1,000 years in the future as we should to people living 1,000 miles away, seems interesting but difficult to pursue in the context of so much current global suffering. On the other hand, this kind of thinking does argue for work to prevent climate change, prepare for future pandemics, and avoid the potential excesses of artificial intelligence, all of which will likely help the living as well as the not-yet-alive. So, despite the recent negative publicity, it appears that EA continues to promote good works around the world.

We hope these resources provide some ideas to help with your giving. Please feel free to send us links to your resources so we can compile additional ideas for 2023 and beyond.

One Step Forward, or the Fragility of Recoveries

Nick Levinson Comments, Life with Money

As occurred in July through mid-August of this year, stock markets around the world have seen significant gains in October and November 2022. The total US stock market rose about 8% in October and 5% in November. International stocks increased 3% in October and 13% in November. Bond prices have also gone up recently, with gains between 1.5% and 4% for November depending on maturity and credit risk. These bond price increases have accompanied substantial declines in interest rates, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury falling from 4.3% in mid-October to 3.7% at the end of November.
headache
What’s been driving these gains?

As always, many factors come into play, but the most significant appear to be the recent declines, albeit modest, in inflation rates around the world. This has encouraged hopes among investors that the US Federal Reserve and other central banks will begin to moderate recent interest rate increases in their attempts to slow inflation.

The big question is whether these gains will persist and mark the beginning of a recovery from the still-significant declines of 2022. Or will they disappear in the face of higher inflation and/or other factors, as they did over the summer?

As you know, PPA doesn’t make predictions about short-term market price movements. There are simply too many moving pieces that we know about, along with a long list of possible factors that we don’t yet know anything about. That’s why we encourage clients to stick with asset allocations appropriate to their long-term financial situations, making changes as situations change, not in response to markets rising or falling over weeks or months.

As always, PPA advisors are available to consult if you have questions or concerns as we go through these challenging, uncertain times together.